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Finland. Ykkonen. Division 1

Tampereen Pallo-Veikot vs Tampere United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Tampereen Pallo-Veikot Tampereen Pallo-VeikotvsTampere United Tampere United
Our predictionDraw
Confidence: High · 66/100
Score hint: 1-1

Our model leans the draw (50% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Tampereen Pallo-Veikot23%
Draw50%
2 · Tampere United27%
1 · Tampereen Pallo-VeikotDraw2 · Tampere United
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Tampere United3.68+2.5%
1X2Tampereen Pallo-Veikot3.85-0.7%
1X2Draw1.76-1.8%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Tampereen Pallo-VeikotLDLLL
Tampere UnitedWWLDW
Team strength rating
Tampereen Pallo-Veikot
32
Tampere United
57

Most likely scorelines

1-112.6%
1-09.8%
0-19.6%
2-18.2%
1-28.1%
0-07.5%

Expected goals

1.31Tampereen Pallo-Veikot
xG
1.29Tampere United
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Tampereen Pallo-Veikot Tampere United

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Draw1.76Fair (-1.8%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
071063
11013831
26852
3342
41
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Tampereen Pallo-Veikot and Tampere United. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 23% for Tampereen Pallo-Veikot, 50% for the draw and 27% for Tampere United.

Several signals point toward the draw. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head history is finely balanced.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 2 Tampereen Pallo-Veikot wins, 1 draws and 3 Tampere United wins. Recent scorelines: 0-2, 2-4, 1-5, 0-0, 1-2.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Tampereen Pallo-Veikot show L-D-L-L-L across their recent outings, while Tampere United read W-W-L-D-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Tampere United" (1X2): we rate it 27% versus the 25% implied by odds of 3.68, an edge of 2.5 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Tampereen Pallo-Veikot or Tampere United?

Our model rates the draw as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Tampereen Pallo-Veikot vs Tampere United?

A scoreline around 1-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 2 Tampereen Pallo-Veikot wins, 1 draws, 3 Tampere United wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Finland. Ykkonen. Division 1
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1RoPS851219:817
2Oulun Luistinseura952217:917
3Jyvaskyla952218:1317
4Tampere United852117:616
5SalPa942320:1215
6Jazz954012:1612
7VJS Vantaa732214:711
8Inter Turku II834117:1910
9Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa723210:98
10Tampereen Pallo-Veikot81528:155
11KuPS Akatemia81619:174
12KPV80622:322
Promotion - Division 1 (Championship. Play-off) Division 1 (Relegation Group)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.