Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa vs KuPS Akatemia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaavs
KuPS AkatemiaOur model leans Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa (57% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +The head-to-head record favours Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa (4-1-1).
- −Recent form favours KuPS Akatemia.
- +Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head record favours Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa (4-1-1).
- Recent form favours KuPS Akatemia.
- Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa and KuPS Akatemia. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 57% for Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa, 19% for the draw and 24% for KuPS Akatemia.
Several signals point toward Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head record favours Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa (4-1-1). Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa have home advantage.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 4 Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa wins, 1 draws and 1 KuPS Akatemia wins. Recent scorelines: 0-1, 0-1, 2-2, 2-3, 1-2.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa show L-D-L-L-W across their recent outings, while KuPS Akatemia read W-L-W-W-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 47%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa or KuPS Akatemia?
Our model rates Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa vs KuPS Akatemia?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa wins, 1 draws, 1 KuPS Akatemia wins.
League table
Finland. Ykkonen. Division 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  RoPS | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:8 | 17 |
| 2 |  Oulun Luistinseura | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 17 |
| 3 |  Jyvaskyla | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:13 | 17 |
| 4 |  Tampere United | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:6 | 16 |
| 5 |  SalPa | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:12 | 15 |
| 6 |  Jazz | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 12:16 | 12 |
| 7 |  VJS Vantaa | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 11 |
| 8 |  Inter Turku II | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 9 | Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 8 |
| 10 |  Tampereen Pallo-Veikot | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:15 | 5 |
| 11 | KuPS Akatemia | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 9:17 | 4 |
| 12 |  KPV | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 2:32 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.