Associacao Olímpica de Itabaiana vs Volta Redonda: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Associacao Olímpica de Itabaianavs
Volta RedondaOur model leans Associacao Olímpica de Itabaiana (44% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +Associacao Olímpica de Itabaiana have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Associacao Olímpica de Itabaiana have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
With limited data on this fixture, the read here is driven by the market. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 44% for Associacao Olímpica de Itabaiana, 25% for the draw and 31% for Volta Redonda — treat this as a lighter, odds-led view.
Several signals point toward Associacao Olímpica de Itabaiana. The odds point to a clear favourite. Associacao Olímpica de Itabaiana have home advantage.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Associacao Olímpica de Itabaiana or Volta Redonda?
Our model rates Associacao Olímpica de Itabaiana as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Associacao Olímpica de Itabaiana vs Volta Redonda?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
League table
Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro Série C - First stage| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paysandu | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 17 |
| 2 |  Brusque | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 3 |  Ituano | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 4 |  Guarani | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:7 | 15 |
| 5 |  Amazonas | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 13 |
| 6 |  Maringa Futebol Clube | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18:19 | 13 |
| 7 |  S.E.R. Caxias do Sul | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:5 | 12 |
| 8 |  Floresta EC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 12 |
| 9 |  Associacao Atletica Internacional | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 10 |  Ferroviaria | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 11 |  Santa Cruz PE | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 12 |  Maranhao Atletico Clube | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Ypiranga | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 14 |  Barra | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 15 | Volta Redonda | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5:9 | 8 |
| 16 |  Figueirense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:12 | 8 |
| 17 |  Confianca | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 18 |  Botafogo da Paraíba | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8:13 | 6 |
| 19 | Associacao Olímpica de Itabaiana | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Anápolis | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6:13 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.