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Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro Série C

Botafogo da Paraíba vs Maringa Futebol Clube: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Botafogo da Paraíba Botafogo da ParaíbavsMaringa Futebol Clube Maringa Futebol Clube
Our predictionBotafogo da Paraíba to win
Confidence: Medium · 35/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Botafogo da Paraíba (36% probability), medium confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Botafogo da Paraíba36%
Draw32%
2 · Maringa Futebol Clube32%
1 · Botafogo da ParaíbaDraw2 · Maringa Futebol Clube
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Maringa Futebol Clube3.00+2.2%
1X2Botafogo da Paraíba2.43-0.8%
1X2Draw2.72-1.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Botafogo da Paraíba
45
Maringa Futebol Clube
52

Most likely scorelines

1-112.4%
1-010.5%
2-18.8%
0-18.8%
2-07.5%
0-07.4%

Recent form

Botafogo da ParaíbaLWLLD
Maringa Futebol ClubeDWWLL

Expected goals

1.42Botafogo da Paraíba
xG
1.18Maringa Futebol Clube
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Botafogo da Paraíba Maringa Futebol Clube

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Botafogo da Paraíba win2.43Fair (-0.8%)
Double chanceBotafogo da Paraíba or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07952
1101273
27952
3442
411
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Botafogo da Paraíba and Maringa Futebol Clube. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 36% for Botafogo da Paraíba, 32% for the draw and 32% for Maringa Futebol Clube.

Several signals point toward Botafogo da Paraíba. The odds point to a clear favourite. Botafogo da Paraíba have home advantage.

Across the last 1 meetings, the record reads 0 Botafogo da Paraíba wins, 1 draws and 0 Maringa Futebol Clube wins. Recent scorelines: 1-1.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Botafogo da Paraíba show L-W-L-L-D across their recent outings, while Maringa Futebol Clube read D-W-W-L-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Maringa Futebol Clube" (1X2): we rate it 32% versus the 30% implied by odds of 3.00, an edge of 2.2 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Botafogo da Paraíba or Maringa Futebol Clube?

Our model rates Botafogo da Paraíba as the most likely outcome at 36% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Botafogo da Paraíba vs Maringa Futebol Clube?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Botafogo da Paraíba wins, 1 draws, 0 Maringa Futebol Clube wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro Série C - First stage
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Paysandu851215:917
2Brusque851213:717
3Ituano852112:816
4Guarani841315:715
5Amazonas843111:713
6Maringa Futebol Clube843118:1913
7S.E.R. Caxias do Sul83237:512
8Floresta EC832310:912
9Associacao Atletica Internacional83239:812
10Ferroviaria83238:812
11Santa Cruz PE83327:611
12Maranhao Atletico Clube83329:1111
13Ypiranga834111:1310
14Barra822410:710
15Volta Redonda82425:98
16Figueirense82426:128
17Confianca82514:77
18Botafogo da Paraíba82608:136
19Associacao Olímpica de Itabaiana81436:126
20Anápolis81616:134
Promotion - Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro Série C (Second stage) Relegation - Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro Série D

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.