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Finland. Kolmonen. Division 3

PPJ Ruoholahti vs MPS: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

PPJ Ruoholahti PPJ RuoholahtivsMPS MPS
Our predictionMPS to win
Confidence: Medium · 54/100
Score hint: 1-2

Our model leans MPS (43% probability), medium confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · PPJ Ruoholahti24%
Draw33%
2 · MPS43%
1 · PPJ RuoholahtiDraw2 · MPS
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
PPJ Ruoholahti
45
MPS
56

Most likely scorelines

1-112.4%
0-111.2%
1-29.1%
1-08.4%
0-28.3%
0-07.6%

Expected goals

1.10PPJ Ruoholahti
xG
1.47MPS
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score51%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
PPJ Ruoholahti MPS

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2MPS win2.12Fair
Double chanceMPS or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0811841
1812942
25752
3222
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2PPJ Ruoholahti3.98+0.7%
1X2Draw2.79-0.3%
1X2MPS2.12-0.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

With limited data on this fixture, the read here is driven by the market. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 24% for PPJ Ruoholahti, 33% for the draw and 43% for MPS — treat this as a lighter, odds-led view.

Several signals point toward MPS. The odds point to a clear favourite.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-2 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 51%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, PPJ Ruoholahti or MPS?

Our model rates MPS as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for PPJ Ruoholahti vs MPS?

A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.