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Finland. Kolmonen. Division 3

Lohjan Pallo vs Hoo Gee: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Lohjan Pallo Lohjan PallovsHoo Gee Hoo Gee
Our predictionLohjan Pallo to win
Confidence: High · 67/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Lohjan Pallo (47% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Lohjan Pallo47%
Draw32%
2 · Hoo Gee21%
1 · Lohjan PalloDraw2 · Hoo Gee
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

O/U 2.5Under 2.53.50+7.3%
1X2Lohjan Pallo1.97+0.5%
1X2Hoo Gee4.40-0.2%
1X2Draw2.83-0.3%
O/U 2.5Over 2.51.26-15.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

2.19Lohjan Pallo
xG
1.15Hoo Gee
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score60%
Team strength rating
Lohjan Pallo
58
Hoo Gee
43

Most likely scorelines

2-19.8%
1-18.9%
2-08.5%
1-07.7%
3-17.1%
3-06.2%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Lohjan Pallo Hoo Gee

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Lohjan Pallo win1.97Fair
Total goalsOver 2.51.26Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0442
18952
281062
36742
4342
512

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

With limited data on this fixture, the read here is driven by the market. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 47% for Lohjan Pallo, 32% for the draw and 21% for Hoo Gee — treat this as a lighter, odds-led view.

Several signals point toward Lohjan Pallo. The odds point to a clear favourite. Lohjan Pallo have home advantage.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 60%. The match profile leans toward a higher goal total.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Under 2.5" (O/U 2.5): we rate it 36% versus the 29% implied by odds of 3.50, an edge of 7.3 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Lohjan Pallo or Hoo Gee?

Our model rates Lohjan Pallo as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Lohjan Pallo vs Hoo Gee?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.