HJK (Women) vs VIFK (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Our model leans HJK (Women) (87% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +The head-to-head record favours HJK (Women) (5-0-0).
- −Recent form favours VIFK (Women).
- +HJK (Women) have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head record favours HJK (Women) (5-0-0).
- Recent form favours VIFK (Women).
- HJK (Women) have home advantage.
- Goals outlook: an open game likely.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| 1 | 10 | 4 | ||||
| 2 | 15 | 5 | ||||
| 3 | 16 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 12 | 4 | ||||
| 5 | 7 | 3 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between HJK (Women) and VIFK (Women). After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 87% for HJK (Women), 4% for the draw and 10% for VIFK (Women).
Several signals point toward HJK (Women). The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head record favours HJK (Women) (5-0-0). HJK (Women) have home advantage.
Across the last 5 meetings, the record reads 5 HJK (Women) wins, 0 draws and 0 VIFK (Women) wins. Recent scorelines: 0-1, 3-0, 0-6, 1-6, 4-0.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, HJK (Women) show L-W-L-L-L across their recent outings, while VIFK (Women) read W-L-W-L-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 28%. The match profile leans toward a higher goal total.
Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Under 2.5" (O/U 2.5): we rate it 37% versus the 15% implied by odds of 6.50, an edge of 21.8 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, HJK (Women) or VIFK (Women)?
Our model rates HJK (Women) as the most likely outcome at 87% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for HJK (Women) vs VIFK (Women)?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 5 HJK (Women) wins, 0 draws, 0 VIFK (Women) wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Finland. Naisten Liiga. Women| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18:7 | 19 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19:6 | 18 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 13 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 20:12 | 12 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 13:16 | 9 | |
| 6 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 14:20 | 6 | |
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:21 | 6 | |
| 8 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 4:19 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.