← All predictions
MLS+

Charleston + vs Hartford +: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Charleston + Charleston +vsHartford + Hartford +
Our predictionCharleston + to win
Confidence: Low · 21/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Charleston + (38% probability), low confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Charleston +38%
Draw36%
2 · Hartford +26%
1 · Charleston +Draw2 · Hartford +
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Charleston +2.41+3.3%
1X2Hartford +3.06-1.4%
1X2Draw2.21-1.9%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

2.06Charleston +
xG
1.46Hartford +
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams to score67%

Most likely scorelines

2-19.2%
1-18.9%
2-26.7%
1-26.5%
3-16.3%
2-06.3%
Team strength rating
Charleston +
66
Hartford +
36

Recent form

Charleston +WWWDW
Hartford +LLLDW

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Charleston + Hartford +

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Charleston + win2.41Fair (+3.3%)
Double chanceCharleston + or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
03432
169631
269731
34652
42321
51

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds and recent form to frame this clash between Charleston + and Hartford +. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 38% for Charleston +, 36% for the draw and 26% for Hartford +.

Several signals point toward Charleston +. Recent form favours Charleston +. Charleston + have home advantage.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Charleston + show W-W-W-D-W across their recent outings, while Hartford + read L-L-L-D-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 67%. The match profile leans toward a higher goal total.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Charleston +" (1X2): we rate it 38% versus the 35% implied by odds of 2.41, an edge of 3.3 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Charleston + or Hartford +?

Our model rates Charleston + as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Charleston + vs Hartford +?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.