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Argentina. Primera B Metropolitana

Dock Sud vs Club Atletico Brown: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Dock Sud Dock SudvsClub Atletico Brown Club Atletico Brown
Our predictionDraw
Confidence: High · 92/100
Score hint: 1-1

Our model leans the draw (84% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Dock Sud6%
Draw84%
2 · Club Atletico Brown10%
1 · Dock SudDraw2 · Club Atletico Brown
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Dock Sud134.00+4.8%
1X2Club Atletico Brown16.00+4.2%
1X2Draw1.02-9.0%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Dock Sud
36
Club Atletico Brown
27

Recent form

Dock SudWDDWW
Club Atletico BrownLLLDD

Most likely scorelines

1-112.6%
1-09.7%
0-19.7%
2-18.2%
1-28.1%
0-07.5%

Expected goals

1.30Dock Sud
xG
1.29Club Atletico Brown
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Dock Sud Club Atletico Brown

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Draw1.02Avoid (-9.0%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
071063
11013831
26852
3342
41
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Dock Sud and Club Atletico Brown. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 6% for Dock Sud, 84% for the draw and 10% for Club Atletico Brown.

Several signals point toward the draw. The odds point to a clear favourite.

Across the last 2 meetings, the record reads 0 Dock Sud wins, 1 draws and 1 Club Atletico Brown wins. Recent scorelines: 1-3, 1-1.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Dock Sud show W-D-D-W-W across their recent outings, while Club Atletico Brown read L-L-L-D-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Dock Sud" (1X2): we rate it 6% versus the 1% implied by odds of 134.00, an edge of 4.8 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Dock Sud or Club Atletico Brown?

Our model rates the draw as the most likely outcome at 84% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Dock Sud vs Club Atletico Brown?

A scoreline around 1-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings: 0 Dock Sud wins, 1 draws, 1 Club Atletico Brown wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Match statistics

54
Possession
46
5
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
5
8
Corners
0
20'Rodriguez
45'Sproat M.
65'Баес
72'Bogado
72'Galvan

Match story

How the game unfolded
0–15'00

Cautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)

15–45'01

Club Atletico Brown make it count (Rodriguez (20')). It's 0–1 at this point.

20'Rodriguez45'Sproat M.
Half-time

Half-time score: Dock Sud 0 – 1 Club Atletico Brown.

45–75'01

The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (0–1)

65'Баес72'Bogado72'Galvan
75–90'+01

A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–1)

Full time: Dock Sud 01 Club Atletico Brown

League table

Argentina. Primera B Metropolitana
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Arsenal de Sarandi1791724:834
2Villa Dalmine1792622:933
3Atletico Camioneros1792619:833
4Excursionistas1793522:1132
5Club Atletico Talleres Remedios de Escalada1794415:831
6Sportivo Italiano1783618:1330
7Deportivo Merlo1774620:1927
8Club Comunicaciones1775518:1526
9San Martin de Burzaco1764720:1525
10Real Pilar1776420:1925
11Dock Sud1755718:1422
12Deportivo Laferrere1757515:2120
13Deportivo Liniers1757511:1720
14Defensores Unidos1746716:1719
15Argentino de Merlo1758410:1519
16CSyD Flandria1758413:2019
17Deportivo Armenio1759316:2418
18Argentino de Quilmes1737715:1816
19UAI Urquiza1725109:1316
20Club Atletico Brown173869:2015
21Villa San Carlos1739519:2514
22Club Atletico Ituzaingo17012510:305
Promotion - Primera Nacional Promotion - Primera B (Promotion. Play-off) Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.