Sport Club Internacional vs Cruzeiro Esporte Clube: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sport Club Internacionalvs
Cruzeiro Esporte ClubeThe model puts Sport Club Internacional at 45%. The model leans toward Sport Club Internacional. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Sport Club Internacional.
- +Sport Club Internacional creates more chances (16 vs 13 shots per game).
- −The head-to-head record favours Cruzeiro Esporte Clube (1-2-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Sport Club Internacional have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cruzeiro Esporte Clube have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sport Club Internacional have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Sport Club Internacional is priced at 2.24.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sport Club Internacional at 45%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Cruzeiro Esporte Clube at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Sport Club Internacional. Sport Club Internacional is priced at 2.24. The draw is priced at 3.28. Cruzeiro Esporte Clube is priced at 3.28.
Sport Club Internacional have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Cruzeiro Esporte Clube have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Sport Club Internacional have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Cruzeiro Esporte Clube have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Sport Club Internacional average 1 goals per game this season. Sport Club Internacional average 52% possession. Cruzeiro Esporte Clube average 1 goals per game this season. Cruzeiro Esporte Clube average 54% possession.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 37% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sport Club Internacional or Cruzeiro Esporte Clube?
Our model rates Sport Club Internacional as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sport Club Internacional vs Cruzeiro Esporte Clube?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Sport Club Internacional wins, 2 draws, 3 Cruzeiro Esporte Clube wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 30:13 | 41 |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31:16 | 34 |
| 3 |  Fluminense | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 28:23 | 31 |
| 4 |  Clube Atletico Paranaense | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 24:18 | 30 |
| 5 |  Red Bull Bragantino | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 25:19 | 29 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 26 |
| 7 |  Coritiba | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:24 | 26 |
| 8 |  Sao Paulo | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 9 |  Clube Atletico Mineiro | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 22:23 | 24 |
| 10 |  Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro Esporte Clube | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | 24 |
| 12 |  Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 31:31 | 22 |
| 13 |  EC Vitoria Salvador | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 21:25 | 22 |
| 14 | Sport Club Internacional | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 21:22 | 21 |
| 15 |  Santos | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 26:29 | 21 |
| 16 |  Gremio Porto Alegrense | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20:23 | 21 |
| 17 |  CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 22:29 | 20 |
| 18 |  Clube do Remo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 19 |  Mirassol | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 18:24 | 16 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense | 17 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 17:33 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.