Fort Wayne vs AV Alta: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Fort Waynevs
AV AltaOur model leans Fort Wayne (41% probability), medium confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Fort Wayne have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Fort Wayne have home advantage.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
With limited data on this fixture, the read here is driven by the market. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 41% for Fort Wayne, 27% for the draw and 33% for AV Alta — treat this as a lighter, odds-led view.
Several signals point toward Fort Wayne. Fort Wayne have home advantage.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Fort Wayne or AV Alta?
Our model rates Fort Wayne as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
No goals but plenty of bite: 2 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.
Half-time score: Fort Wayne 0 – 0 AV Alta.
No goals but plenty of bite: 2 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.
No goals but plenty of bite: 2 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.
League table
USA. USL League One| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Union Omaha | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  One Knoxville | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Spokane Velocity | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 20 |
| 4 |  Naples | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 5 | Fort Wayne | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Charlotte Independence | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | 14 |
| 7 |  Athletic Boise | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:13 | 14 |
| 8 |  Forward Madison | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 9 | AV Alta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:12 | 13 |
| 10 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 11 |  Chattanooga Red Wolves | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14:9 | 10 |
| 12 |  Richmond Kickers | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:12 | 10 |
| 13 |  Sarasota Paradise | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 11:20 | 10 |
| 14 |  Westchester SC | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 15 |  Greenville Triumph | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:15 | 7 |
| 16 |  New York Cosmos | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 13:22 | 7 |
| 17 |  Corpus Christi | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 9:20 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.