Korona Kielce II vs Wislanie Skawina: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Our model leans Korona Kielce II (91% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +The head-to-head record favours Korona Kielce II (2-1-0).
- +Korona Kielce II have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head record favours Korona Kielce II (2-1-0).
- Korona Kielce II have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 1 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 3 | ||||
| 2 | 21 | 4 | ||||
| 3 | 18 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 11 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 6 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Korona Kielce II and Wislanie Skawina. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 91% for Korona Kielce II, 3% for the draw and 5% for Wislanie Skawina.
Several signals point toward Korona Kielce II. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head record favours Korona Kielce II (2-1-0). Korona Kielce II have home advantage.
Across the last 3 meetings, the record reads 2 Korona Kielce II wins, 1 draws and 0 Wislanie Skawina wins. Recent scorelines: 1-3, 5-1, 1-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Korona Kielce II show L-L-L-L-W across their recent outings, while Wislanie Skawina read L-D-L-L-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 16%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Korona Kielce II or Wislanie Skawina?
Our model rates Korona Kielce II as the most likely outcome at 91% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Korona Kielce II vs Wislanie Skawina?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 2 Korona Kielce II wins, 1 draws, 0 Wislanie Skawina wins.
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedKorona Kielce II make it count (Bartosz Karlinski (4')). It's 1–0 at this point.
An end-to-end spell with goals at both ends (Shkitun Rostyslav (25'), Janusz Nojszewski (35')). Score moves to 2–1.
Half-time score: Korona Kielce II 2 – 1 Wislanie Skawina.
Korona Kielce II make it count (Kuzera (56')). It's 3–1 at this point.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (3–1)
League table
Poland Championship. Liga 3. Group 4| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 81:33 | 74 | |
| 2 | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 64:30 | 71 | |
| 3 | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 63:30 | 69 | |
| 4 | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51:43 | 55 | |
| 5 | 33 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 62:58 | 55 | |
| 6 | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 57:46 | 53 | |
| 7 | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 58:45 | 52 | |
| 8 | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 61:45 | 51 | |
| 9 | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 51:47 | 51 | |
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 36:33 | 48 | |
| 11 | 33 | 14 | 15 | 4 | 64:56 | 46 | |
| 12 | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 54:46 | 43 | |
| 13 | 33 | 11 | 17 | 5 | 45:52 | 38 | |
| 14 | 33 | 10 | 19 | 4 | 35:54 | 34 | |
| 15 | 33 | 8 | 18 | 7 | 39:52 | 31 | |
| 16 | 33 | 8 | 19 | 6 | 38:66 | 30 | |
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 24 | 4 | 35:79 | 19 | |
| 18 | 33 | 4 | 28 | 1 | 29:108 | 13 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.