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Poland Championship. Liga 3

Korona Kielce II vs Wislanie Skawina: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Korona Kielce II Korona Kielce IIvsWislanie Skawina Wislanie Skawina
Our predictionKorona Kielce II to win
Confidence: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Korona Kielce II (91% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Korona Kielce II91%
Draw3%
2 · Wislanie Skawina5%
1 · Korona Kielce IIDraw2 · Wislanie Skawina
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
Korona Kielce II
78
Wislanie Skawina
20

Recent form

Korona Kielce IILLLLW
Wislanie SkawinaLDLLD

Most likely scorelines

2-020.8%
3-017.6%
1-016.4%
4-011.2%
0-06.5%
5-05.7%

Expected goals

2.54Korona Kielce II
xG
0.20Wislanie Skawina
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score16%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Korona Kielce II Wislanie Skawina

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Korona Kielce II win1.02Fair (+0.5%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
061
1163
2214
3184
4112
561

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Korona Kielce II1.02+0.5%
1X2Draw28.00-0.2%
1X2Wislanie Skawina16.10-0.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Korona Kielce II and Wislanie Skawina. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 91% for Korona Kielce II, 3% for the draw and 5% for Wislanie Skawina.

Several signals point toward Korona Kielce II. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head record favours Korona Kielce II (2-1-0). Korona Kielce II have home advantage.

Across the last 3 meetings, the record reads 2 Korona Kielce II wins, 1 draws and 0 Wislanie Skawina wins. Recent scorelines: 1-3, 5-1, 1-1.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Korona Kielce II show L-L-L-L-W across their recent outings, while Wislanie Skawina read L-D-L-L-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 16%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Korona Kielce II or Wislanie Skawina?

Our model rates Korona Kielce II as the most likely outcome at 91% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Korona Kielce II vs Wislanie Skawina?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings: 2 Korona Kielce II wins, 1 draws, 0 Wislanie Skawina wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Match statistics

Bartosz Karlinski4'
25'Shkitun Rostyslav
Janusz Nojszewski35'
Kuzera56'

Match story

How the game unfolded
0–15'10

Korona Kielce II make it count (Bartosz Karlinski (4')). It's 1–0 at this point.

4'Bartosz Karlinski
15–45'21

An end-to-end spell with goals at both ends (Shkitun Rostyslav (25'), Janusz Nojszewski (35')). Score moves to 2–1.

25'Shkitun Rostyslav35'Janusz Nojszewski
Half-time

Half-time score: Korona Kielce II 2 – 1 Wislanie Skawina.

45–75'31

Korona Kielce II make it count (Kuzera (56')). It's 3–1 at this point.

56'Kuzera
75–90'+31

A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (3–1)

Full time: Korona Kielce II 31 Wislanie Skawina

League table

Poland Championship. Liga 3. Group 4
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1GPTS Avia Swidnik33223881:3374
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski33214864:3071
3CKS Chelmianka Chelm33204963:3069
4Star Starachowice341591051:4355
5Korona Kielce II331712462:5855
6MKS Czarni Polaniec331612557:4653
7Podlasie331491058:4552
8Pogon Sokol Lubaczow341411961:4551
9Wislanie Skawina331512651:4751
10KS Wisloka Debica331291236:3348
11Wisla Krakow II331415464:5646
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3311121054:4643
13Naprzod Jedrzejow331117545:5238
14Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna331019435:5434
15Stal Krasnik33818739:5231
16KS Cracovia II33819638:6630
17Swidniczanka Swidnik33524435:7919
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka33428129:10813
Promotion - Division 2 Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play-off) Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.