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Poland Championship. Liga 4

Odra Bytom Odrzanski vs Polonia Slubice: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Odra Bytom Odrzanski Odra Bytom OdrzanskivsPolonia Slubice Polonia Slubice
Our predictionOdra Bytom Odrzanski to win
Confidence: High · 71/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Odra Bytom Odrzanski (47% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Odra Bytom Odrzanski47%
Draw30%
2 · Polonia Slubice23%
1 · Odra Bytom OdrzanskiDraw2 · Polonia Slubice
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

O/U 2.5Under 2.54.74+14.7%
1X2Odra Bytom Odrzanski1.98+0.5%
1X2Polonia Slubice4.05-0.2%
1X2Draw3.04-0.3%
O/U 2.5Over 2.51.15-22.8%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

2.16Odra Bytom Odrzanski
xG
1.18Polonia Slubice
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score61%
Team strength rating
Odra Bytom Odrzanski
59
Polonia Slubice
44

Most likely scorelines

2-19.8%
1-19.0%
2-08.2%
1-07.6%
3-17.0%
3-05.9%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Odra Bytom Odrzanski Polonia Slubice

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Odra Bytom Odrzanski win1.98Fair
Total goalsOver 2.51.15Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0442
18952
281062
36742
4342
512

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

With limited data on this fixture, the read here is driven by the market. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 47% for Odra Bytom Odrzanski, 30% for the draw and 23% for Polonia Slubice — treat this as a lighter, odds-led view.

Several signals point toward Odra Bytom Odrzanski. The odds point to a clear favourite. Odra Bytom Odrzanski have home advantage.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 61%. The match profile leans toward a higher goal total.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Under 2.5" (O/U 2.5): we rate it 36% versus the 21% implied by odds of 4.74, an edge of 14.7 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Odra Bytom Odrzanski or Polonia Slubice?

Our model rates Odra Bytom Odrzanski as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Odra Bytom Odrzanski vs Polonia Slubice?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.