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Chile. Tercera Division

Puente Alto vs Comunal Cabrero: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Puente Alto Puente AltovsComunal Cabrero Comunal Cabrero
Our predictionComunal Cabrero to win
Confidence: High · 71/100
Score hint: 1-2

Our model leans Comunal Cabrero (47% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Puente Alto25%
Draw28%
2 · Comunal Cabrero47%
1 · Puente AltoDraw2 · Comunal Cabrero
Full team comparison

Expected goals

1.35Puente Alto
xG
1.92Comunal Cabrero
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams to score63%
Team strength rating
Puente Alto
45
Comunal Cabrero
59

Most likely scorelines

1-19.9%
1-29.5%
0-17.3%
0-27.0%
2-16.6%
2-26.4%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Puente Alto Comunal Cabrero

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Comunal Cabrero win1.94Fair
Total goalsOver 2.51.60Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
047742
15109631
237642
32332
41
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Puente Alto3.81+0.7%
O/U 2.5Over 2.51.60+0.4%
1X2Draw3.30-0.3%
1X2Comunal Cabrero1.94-0.4%
O/U 2.5Under 2.52.25-7.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

With limited data on this fixture, the read here is driven by the market. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 25% for Puente Alto, 28% for the draw and 47% for Comunal Cabrero — treat this as a lighter, odds-led view.

Several signals point toward Comunal Cabrero. The odds point to a clear favourite.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-2 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 63%. The match profile leans toward a higher goal total.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Puente Alto or Comunal Cabrero?

Our model rates Comunal Cabrero as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Puente Alto vs Comunal Cabrero?

A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.