Guapore de Rondonia vs Araguaína: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Guapore de Rondoniavs
AraguaínaOur model leans Guapore de Rondonia (47% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +Guapore de Rondonia have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Guapore de Rondonia have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Guapore de Rondonia and Araguaína. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 47% for Guapore de Rondonia, 25% for the draw and 28% for Araguaína.
Several signals point toward Guapore de Rondonia. The odds point to a clear favourite. Guapore de Rondonia have home advantage.
Across the last 1 meetings, the record reads 0 Guapore de Rondonia wins, 1 draws and 0 Araguaína wins. Recent scorelines: 1-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Guapore de Rondonia show W-D-L-D-L across their recent outings, while Araguaína read D-L-W-L-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 51%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Guapore de Rondonia or Araguaína?
Our model rates Guapore de Rondonia as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Guapore de Rondonia vs Araguaína?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Guapore de Rondonia wins, 1 draws, 0 Araguaína wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.