Sao Raimundo EC vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sao Raimundo ECvs
Gremio Atletico SampaioOur model leans Sao Raimundo EC (64% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- +Sao Raimundo EC have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- Sao Raimundo EC have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Sao Raimundo EC and Gremio Atletico Sampaio. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 64% for Sao Raimundo EC, 13% for the draw and 23% for Gremio Atletico Sampaio.
Several signals point toward Sao Raimundo EC. The odds point to a clear favourite. Sao Raimundo EC have home advantage.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 3 Sao Raimundo EC wins, 0 draws and 3 Gremio Atletico Sampaio wins. Recent scorelines: 0-2, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-3.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Sao Raimundo EC show D-W-W-D-W across their recent outings, while Gremio Atletico Sampaio read W-W-D-W-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 44%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sao Raimundo EC or Gremio Atletico Sampaio?
Our model rates Sao Raimundo EC as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sao Raimundo EC vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Sao Raimundo EC wins, 0 draws, 3 Gremio Atletico Sampaio wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.