← All predictions
Austria. Regionalliga East

Leobendorf vs FCM Traiskirchen: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Leobendorf LeobendorfvsFCM Traiskirchen FCM Traiskirchen
Our predictionLeobendorf to win
Confidence: Low · 26/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Leobendorf (38% probability), low confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Leobendorf38%
Draw36%
2 · FCM Traiskirchen26%
1 · LeobendorfDraw2 · FCM Traiskirchen
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2FCM Traiskirchen3.84+2.4%
1X2Draw2.42-0.7%
1X2Leobendorf2.28-1.7%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Recent form

LeobendorfLWLLL
FCM TraiskirchenWLWWL
Team strength rating
Leobendorf
44
FCM Traiskirchen
53

Most likely scorelines

1-112.2%
1-011.2%
2-19.3%
2-08.5%
0-17.9%
0-07.3%

Expected goals

1.53Leobendorf
xG
1.09FCM Traiskirchen
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score52%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Leobendorf FCM Traiskirchen

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Leobendorf win2.28Fair (-1.7%)
Double chanceLeobendorf or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07842
1111272
29952
3453
422
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Leobendorf and FCM Traiskirchen. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 38% for Leobendorf, 36% for the draw and 26% for FCM Traiskirchen.

Several signals point toward Leobendorf. The odds point to a clear favourite. Leobendorf have home advantage.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 2 Leobendorf wins, 1 draws and 3 FCM Traiskirchen wins. Recent scorelines: 0-1, 2-2, 1-2, 3-1, 3-2.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Leobendorf show L-W-L-L-L across their recent outings, while FCM Traiskirchen read W-L-W-W-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "FCM Traiskirchen" (1X2): we rate it 26% versus the 23% implied by odds of 3.84, an edge of 2.4 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Leobendorf or FCM Traiskirchen?

Our model rates Leobendorf as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Leobendorf vs FCM Traiskirchen?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 2 Leobendorf wins, 1 draws, 3 FCM Traiskirchen wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Austria. Regionalliga East
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Gloggnitz31185857:3962
2SC-ESV Parndorf 191931176853:3259
3Kremser-Rehberg31177759:2858
4Leobendorf311711343:3354
5Oberwart311610568:4053
6FCM Traiskirchen31149869:4750
7Horn31139952:3448
8SR Donaufeld311310851:4247
9Mannsdorf311291053:3746
10Donau311211848:5244
11Wiener Sport-Club311212748:5143
12Wiener Viktoria311213645:4942
13Favoritner AC311216343:5039
14Sport Union Mauer321015732:4737
15Neusiedl am See 191931818544:6729
16Retz31320823:6317
17TWL Elektra31227220:978
Promotion - Second League Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.