Leobendorf vs FCM Traiskirchen: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Our model leans Leobendorf (38% probability), low confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- −Recent form favours FCM Traiskirchen.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- +Leobendorf have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Recent form favours FCM Traiskirchen.
- The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- Leobendorf have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Leobendorf and FCM Traiskirchen. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 38% for Leobendorf, 36% for the draw and 26% for FCM Traiskirchen.
Several signals point toward Leobendorf. The odds point to a clear favourite. Leobendorf have home advantage.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 2 Leobendorf wins, 1 draws and 3 FCM Traiskirchen wins. Recent scorelines: 0-1, 2-2, 1-2, 3-1, 3-2.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Leobendorf show L-W-L-L-L across their recent outings, while FCM Traiskirchen read W-L-W-W-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "FCM Traiskirchen" (1X2): we rate it 26% versus the 23% implied by odds of 3.84, an edge of 2.4 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Leobendorf or FCM Traiskirchen?
Our model rates Leobendorf as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Leobendorf vs FCM Traiskirchen?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Leobendorf wins, 1 draws, 3 FCM Traiskirchen wins.
League table
Austria. Regionalliga East| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 57:39 | 62 | |
| 2 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 53:32 | 59 | |
| 3 | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 59:28 | 58 | |
| 4 | 31 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 43:33 | 54 | |
| 5 | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 68:40 | 53 | |
| 6 | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 69:47 | 50 | |
| 7 | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 52:34 | 48 | |
| 8 | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 51:42 | 47 | |
| 9 | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 53:37 | 46 | |
| 10 | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 48:52 | 44 | |
| 11 | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 48:51 | 43 | |
| 12 | 31 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 45:49 | 42 | |
| 13 | 31 | 12 | 16 | 3 | 43:50 | 39 | |
| 14 | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 32:47 | 37 | |
| 15 | 31 | 8 | 18 | 5 | 44:67 | 29 | |
| 16 | 31 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 23:63 | 17 | |
| 17 | 31 | 2 | 27 | 2 | 20:97 | 8 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.