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Austria. Regionalliga East

Donau vs SC-ESV Parndorf 1919: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Donau DonauvsSC-ESV Parndorf 1919 SC-ESV Parndorf 1919
Our predictionDraw
Confidence: High · 73/100
Score hint: 1-1

Our model leans the draw (54% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Donau21%
Draw54%
2 · SC-ESV Parndorf 191925%
1 · DonauDraw2 · SC-ESV Parndorf 1919
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2SC-ESV Parndorf 19194.20+3.7%
1X2Donau4.26-0.4%
1X2Draw1.59-3.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Recent form

DonauLWWLL
SC-ESV Parndorf 1919LWWWL
Team strength rating
Donau
33
SC-ESV Parndorf 1919
54

Most likely scorelines

1-112.6%
1-09.7%
0-19.6%
2-18.2%
1-28.1%
0-07.5%

Expected goals

1.31Donau
xG
1.29SC-ESV Parndorf 1919
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Donau SC-ESV Parndorf 1919

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Draw1.59Fair (-3.3%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
071063
11013831
26852
3342
41
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Donau and SC-ESV Parndorf 1919. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 21% for Donau, 54% for the draw and 25% for SC-ESV Parndorf 1919.

Several signals point toward the draw. The odds point to a clear favourite.

Across the last 4 meetings, the record reads 0 Donau wins, 0 draws and 4 SC-ESV Parndorf 1919 wins. Recent scorelines: 2-0, 1-0, 1-0, 0-1.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Donau show L-W-W-L-L across their recent outings, while SC-ESV Parndorf 1919 read L-W-W-W-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "SC-ESV Parndorf 1919" (1X2): we rate it 25% versus the 22% implied by odds of 4.20, an edge of 3.7 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Donau or SC-ESV Parndorf 1919?

Our model rates the draw as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Donau vs SC-ESV Parndorf 1919?

A scoreline around 1-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 4 meetings: 0 Donau wins, 0 draws, 4 SC-ESV Parndorf 1919 wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Austria. Regionalliga East
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Gloggnitz31185857:3962
2SC-ESV Parndorf 191931176853:3259
3Kremser-Rehberg31177759:2858
4Leobendorf311711343:3354
5Oberwart311610568:4053
6FCM Traiskirchen31149869:4750
7Horn31139952:3448
8SR Donaufeld311310851:4247
9Mannsdorf311291053:3746
10Donau311211848:5244
11Wiener Sport-Club311212748:5143
12Wiener Viktoria311213645:4942
13Favoritner AC311216343:5039
14Sport Union Mauer321015732:4737
15Neusiedl am See 191931818544:6729
16Retz31320823:6317
17TWL Elektra31227220:978
Promotion - Second League Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.