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Morocco. Botola

Ittihad Riadhi de Tanger vs Wydad Casablanca: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Ittihad Riadhi de Tanger Ittihad Riadhi de TangervsWydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca
Our predictionDraw
Confidence: Medium · 48/100
Score hint: 1-1

Our model leans the draw (46% probability), medium confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Ittihad Riadhi de Tanger24%
Draw46%
2 · Wydad Casablanca30%
1 · Ittihad Riadhi de TangerDraw2 · Wydad Casablanca
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Ittihad Riadhi de Tanger4.33+2.7%
1X2Wydad Casablanca3.24+1.7%
1X2Draw1.79-4.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Ittihad Riadhi de TangerWWDDD
Wydad CasablancaLWWLL
Team strength rating
Ittihad Riadhi de Tanger
50
Wydad Casablanca
46

Most likely scorelines

1-112.6%
0-19.8%
1-09.6%
1-28.2%
2-18.1%
0-07.5%

Expected goals

1.28Ittihad Riadhi de Tanger
xG
1.31Wydad Casablanca
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Ittihad Riadhi de Tanger Wydad Casablanca

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Draw1.79Avoid (-4.4%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
071063
11013841
26852
3332
41
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Ittihad Riadhi de Tanger and Wydad Casablanca. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 24% for Ittihad Riadhi de Tanger, 46% for the draw and 30% for Wydad Casablanca.

Several signals point toward the draw. The odds point to a clear favourite.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 1 Ittihad Riadhi de Tanger wins, 2 draws and 3 Wydad Casablanca wins. Recent scorelines: 2-0, 1-1, 2-2, 0-2, 0-3.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Ittihad Riadhi de Tanger show W-W-D-D-D across their recent outings, while Wydad Casablanca read L-W-W-L-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Ittihad Riadhi de Tanger" (1X2): we rate it 24% versus the 21% implied by odds of 4.33, an edge of 2.7 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Ittihad Riadhi de Tanger or Wydad Casablanca?

Our model rates the draw as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Ittihad Riadhi de Tanger vs Wydad Casablanca?

A scoreline around 1-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 1 Ittihad Riadhi de Tanger wins, 2 draws, 3 Wydad Casablanca wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Morocco. Botola
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1MAS Fez22122831:1244
2Raja Casablanca21123626:842
3FAR Rabat211001132:1241
4Wydad Casablanca21125433:1840
5Renaissance Sportive de Berkane21113732:2040
6Difaa El Jadida2175919:2130
7COD Meknes2288615:2030
8KAC Marrakech2267921:1927
9FUS de Rabat2178625:2727
10Ittihad Riadhi de Tanger21461117:2323
11Renaissance Zemamra21610518:2623
12Hassania Agadir21511521:3320
13Olympique Dcheira22412618:3218
14UTS Rabat22291122:3317
15Yacoub Al Mansour21311722:3316
16OC Safi22211919:3415
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification) Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification) Morocco. Botola (Relegation (Play-off)) Relegation - Morocco. Botola 2

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.