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Morocco. Botola

Raja Casablanca vs Renaissance Sportive de Berkane: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Raja Casablanca Raja CasablancavsRenaissance Sportive de Berkane Renaissance Sportive de Berkane
Our predictionRaja Casablanca to win
Confidence: High · 62/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Raja Casablanca (50% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Raja Casablanca50%
Draw18%
2 · Renaissance Sportive de Berkane32%
1 · Raja CasablancaDraw2 · Renaissance Sportive de Berkane
Full team comparison

Recent form

Raja CasablancaWLWWL
Renaissance Sportive de BerkaneLLWLD
Team strength rating
Raja Casablanca
62
Renaissance Sportive de Berkane
42

Most likely scorelines

1-111.8%
1-011.7%
2-19.5%
2-09.4%
0-17.4%
0-07.3%

Expected goals

1.61Raja Casablanca
xG
1.01Renaissance Sportive de Berkane
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score51%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Raja Casablanca Renaissance Sportive de Berkane

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Raja Casablanca win1.84Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07741
1121262
291052
3553
4221
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Renaissance Sportive de Berkane2.98+1.4%
1X2Raja Casablanca1.84+0.3%
1X2Draw4.54-1.8%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Raja Casablanca and Renaissance Sportive de Berkane. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 50% for Raja Casablanca, 18% for the draw and 32% for Renaissance Sportive de Berkane.

Several signals point toward Raja Casablanca. The odds point to a clear favourite. Recent form favours Raja Casablanca. Raja Casablanca have home advantage.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 1 Raja Casablanca wins, 2 draws and 3 Renaissance Sportive de Berkane wins. Recent scorelines: 1-1, 2-0, 0-1, 3-0, 1-1.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Raja Casablanca show W-L-W-W-L across their recent outings, while Renaissance Sportive de Berkane read L-L-W-L-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 51%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Raja Casablanca or Renaissance Sportive de Berkane?

Our model rates Raja Casablanca as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Raja Casablanca vs Renaissance Sportive de Berkane?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 1 Raja Casablanca wins, 2 draws, 3 Renaissance Sportive de Berkane wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Morocco. Botola
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1MAS Fez22122831:1244
2Raja Casablanca21123626:842
3FAR Rabat211001132:1241
4Wydad Casablanca21125433:1840
5Renaissance Sportive de Berkane21113732:2040
6Difaa El Jadida2175919:2130
7COD Meknes2288615:2030
8KAC Marrakech2267921:1927
9FUS de Rabat2178625:2727
10Ittihad Riadhi de Tanger21461117:2323
11Renaissance Zemamra21610518:2623
12Hassania Agadir21511521:3320
13Olympique Dcheira22412618:3218
14UTS Rabat22291122:3317
15Yacoub Al Mansour21311722:3316
16OC Safi22211919:3415
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification) Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification) Morocco. Botola (Relegation (Play-off)) Relegation - Morocco. Botola 2

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.