Raja Casablanca vs Renaissance Sportive de Berkane: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Our model leans Raja Casablanca (50% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- −The head-to-head record favours Renaissance Sportive de Berkane (1-2-3).
- +Recent form favours Raja Casablanca.
- +Raja Casablanca have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head record favours Renaissance Sportive de Berkane (1-2-3).
- Recent form favours Raja Casablanca.
- Raja Casablanca have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Raja Casablanca and Renaissance Sportive de Berkane. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 50% for Raja Casablanca, 18% for the draw and 32% for Renaissance Sportive de Berkane.
Several signals point toward Raja Casablanca. The odds point to a clear favourite. Recent form favours Raja Casablanca. Raja Casablanca have home advantage.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 1 Raja Casablanca wins, 2 draws and 3 Renaissance Sportive de Berkane wins. Recent scorelines: 1-1, 2-0, 0-1, 3-0, 1-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Raja Casablanca show W-L-W-W-L across their recent outings, while Renaissance Sportive de Berkane read L-L-W-L-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 51%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Raja Casablanca or Renaissance Sportive de Berkane?
Our model rates Raja Casablanca as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Raja Casablanca vs Renaissance Sportive de Berkane?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Raja Casablanca wins, 2 draws, 3 Renaissance Sportive de Berkane wins.
League table
Morocco. Botola| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 31:12 | 44 | |
| 2 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 26:8 | 42 | |
| 3 | 21 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 32:12 | 41 | |
| 4 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 33:18 | 40 | |
| 5 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 32:20 | 40 | |
| 6 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:21 | 30 | |
| 7 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 15:20 | 30 | |
| 8 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:19 | 27 | |
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25:27 | 27 | |
| 10 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 17:23 | 23 | |
| 11 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 18:26 | 23 | |
| 12 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 21:33 | 20 | |
| 13 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 18:32 | 18 | |
| 14 | 22 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 22:33 | 17 | |
| 15 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 22:33 | 16 | |
| 16 | 22 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 19:34 | 15 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.