Goias Esporte Clube vs Novorizontino: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Our model leans Goias Esporte Clube (40% probability), medium confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +Recent form favours Goias Esporte Clube.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- +Goias Esporte Clube have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Recent form favours Goias Esporte Clube.
- The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- Goias Esporte Clube have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Goias Esporte Clube and Novorizontino. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 40% for Goias Esporte Clube, 28% for the draw and 31% for Novorizontino.
Several signals point toward Goias Esporte Clube. The odds point to a clear favourite. Recent form favours Goias Esporte Clube. Goias Esporte Clube have home advantage.
Across the last 4 meetings, the record reads 2 Goias Esporte Clube wins, 0 draws and 2 Novorizontino wins. Recent scorelines: 1-0, 1-0, 1-0, 2-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Goias Esporte Clube show D-W-W-L-W across their recent outings, while Novorizontino read D-D-W-L-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Goias Esporte Clube or Novorizontino?
Our model rates Goias Esporte Clube as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Goias Esporte Clube vs Novorizontino?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 2 Goias Esporte Clube wins, 0 draws, 2 Novorizontino wins.
Odds movement
League table
Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18:11 | 25 | |
| 2 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20:10 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15:7 | 22 | |
| 4 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15:11 | 21 | |
| 5 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:10 | 20 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 16:12 | 19 | |
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | 19 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:11 | 17 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:11 | 17 | |
| 11 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10:8 | 16 | |
| 12 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 16 | |
| 13 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8:6 | 16 | |
| 14 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 19:20 | 14 | |
| 15 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:13 | 13 | |
| 16 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11:12 | 10 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 | |
| 18 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 12:20 | 8 | |
| 19 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 10:22 | 8 | |
| 20 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 7:24 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.