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Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie B

Goias Esporte Clube vs Novorizontino: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Goias Esporte Clube Goias Esporte ClubevsNovorizontino Novorizontino
Our predictionGoias Esporte Clube to win
Confidence: Medium · 51/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Goias Esporte Clube (40% probability), medium confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Goias Esporte ClubeDraw2 · Novorizontino
Full team comparison

Recent form

Goias Esporte ClubeDWWLW
NovorizontinoDDWLD
Team strength rating
Goias Esporte Clube
61
Novorizontino
51

Most likely scorelines

1-112.3%
1-010.9%
2-19.1%
0-18.3%
2-08.1%
0-07.3%

Expected goals

1.49Goias Esporte Clube
xG
1.13Novorizontino
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score52%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Goias Esporte Clube Novorizontino

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Goias Esporte Clube win2.42Fair (+1.7%)
Double chanceGoias Esporte Clube or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07852
1111273
28952
3453
412
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Goias Esporte Clube2.42+1.7%
1X2Draw3.29+0.1%
1X2Novorizontino2.81-1.8%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Goias Esporte Clube and Novorizontino. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 40% for Goias Esporte Clube, 28% for the draw and 31% for Novorizontino.

Several signals point toward Goias Esporte Clube. The odds point to a clear favourite. Recent form favours Goias Esporte Clube. Goias Esporte Clube have home advantage.

Across the last 4 meetings, the record reads 2 Goias Esporte Clube wins, 0 draws and 2 Novorizontino wins. Recent scorelines: 1-0, 1-0, 1-0, 2-1.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Goias Esporte Clube show D-W-W-L-W across their recent outings, while Novorizontino read D-D-W-L-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Goias Esporte Clube or Novorizontino?

Our model rates Goias Esporte Clube as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Goias Esporte Clube vs Novorizontino?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 4 meetings: 2 Goias Esporte Clube wins, 0 draws, 2 Novorizontino wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

3.463.162.852.542.23
Home 2.42 Draw 3.29 Away 2.81

League table

Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie B
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Vila Nova1271418:1125
2Sao Bernardo1272320:1024
3Sport Club do Recife1161415:722
4Fortaleza EC1263315:1121
5Criciuma1252514:1020
6Clube Nautico Capibaribe1265116:1219
7Operario Ferroviario1253414:1519
8Goias Esporte Clube1154212:1317
9Novorizontino1142514:1117
10Athletic Club MG1142513:1117
11Esporte Clube Juventude1244410:816
12Atletico Clube Goianiense1244412:1216
13Cuiaba123278:616
14CRB Maceio1246219:2014
15Ceara1134412:1313
16Botafogo Ribeirao Preto1226411:1210
17Avai1125411:1510
18Londrina1228212:208
19Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta1228210:228
20America Minas Gerais120937:243
Promotion - Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie A Promotion - Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie B (Promotion - Play-off: Final) Relegation - Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro Serie C (First stage)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.