Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Charleston Battery: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Tampa Bay Rowdiesvs
Charleston BatteryOur model leans Tampa Bay Rowdies (56% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- −The head-to-head record favours Charleston Battery (0-1-5).
- +Recent form favours Tampa Bay Rowdies.
- +Tampa Bay Rowdies have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head record favours Charleston Battery (0-1-5).
- Recent form favours Tampa Bay Rowdies.
- Tampa Bay Rowdies have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Tampa Bay Rowdies and Charleston Battery. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 56% for Tampa Bay Rowdies, 18% for the draw and 26% for Charleston Battery.
Several signals point toward Tampa Bay Rowdies. The odds point to a clear favourite. Recent form favours Tampa Bay Rowdies. Tampa Bay Rowdies have home advantage.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 0 Tampa Bay Rowdies wins, 1 draws and 5 Charleston Battery wins. Recent scorelines: 1-1, 2-1, 1-3, 1-3, 2-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Tampa Bay Rowdies show W-W-L-W-W across their recent outings, while Charleston Battery read L-L-L-W-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 48%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Charleston Battery" (1X2): we rate it 26% versus the 24% implied by odds of 3.80, an edge of 2.4 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tampa Bay Rowdies or Charleston Battery?
Our model rates Tampa Bay Rowdies as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Charleston Battery?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Tampa Bay Rowdies wins, 1 draws, 5 Charleston Battery wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.