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Poland Championship. Liga 3

LKS 1926 Lomza vs Gornik Polkowice: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

LKS 1926 Lomza LKS 1926 LomzavsGornik Polkowice Gornik Polkowice
Our predictionLKS 1926 Lomza to win
Confidence: High · 66/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans LKS 1926 Lomza (46% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · LKS 1926 Lomza46%
Draw29%
2 · Gornik Polkowice25%
1 · LKS 1926 LomzaDraw2 · Gornik Polkowice
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
LKS 1926 Lomza
70
Gornik Polkowice
42

Most likely scorelines

1-012.0%
1-111.6%
2-09.9%
2-19.6%
0-07.2%
0-17.0%

Recent form

LKS 1926 LomzaWWWLW
Gornik PolkowiceLLWWW

Expected goals

1.66LKS 1926 Lomza
xG
0.97Gornik Polkowice
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score50%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
LKS 1926 Lomza Gornik Polkowice

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2LKS 1926 Lomza win2.05Fair (+2.0%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07731
1121262
2101052
3553
4221
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2LKS 1926 Lomza2.05+2.0%
1X2Draw3.11-0.2%
1X2Gornik Polkowice3.42-1.7%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between LKS 1926 Lomza and Gornik Polkowice. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 46% for LKS 1926 Lomza, 29% for the draw and 25% for Gornik Polkowice.

Several signals point toward LKS 1926 Lomza. The odds point to a clear favourite. Recent form favours LKS 1926 Lomza. LKS 1926 Lomza have home advantage.

Across the last 2 meetings, the record reads 1 LKS 1926 Lomza wins, 0 draws and 1 Gornik Polkowice wins. Recent scorelines: 2-5, 0-1.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, LKS 1926 Lomza show W-W-W-L-W across their recent outings, while Gornik Polkowice read L-L-W-W-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 50%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, LKS 1926 Lomza or Gornik Polkowice?

Our model rates LKS 1926 Lomza as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for LKS 1926 Lomza vs Gornik Polkowice?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings: 1 LKS 1926 Lomza wins, 0 draws, 1 Gornik Polkowice wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.