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Senegal. Premier League

Academie Generation Foot vs AJEL de Rufisque: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Academie Generation Foot Academie Generation FootvsAJEL de Rufisque AJEL de Rufisque
Our predictionDraw
Confidence: High · 69/100
Score hint: 1-1

Our model leans the draw (51% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Academie Generation Foot22%
Draw51%
2 · AJEL de Rufisque27%
1 · Academie Generation FootDraw2 · AJEL de Rufisque
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Academie Generation Foot5.05+3.8%
1X2Draw1.74-1.9%
1X2AJEL de Rufisque3.23-1.9%
O/U 2.5Over 2.52.33-2.7%
O/U 2.5Under 2.51.53-5.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.15Academie Generation Foot
xG
1.14AJEL de Rufisque
Over 2.5 goals40%
Both teams to score47%
Team strength rating
Academie Generation Foot
50
AJEL de Rufisque
35

Recent form

Academie Generation FootWWLWL
AJEL de RufisqueLLLDW

Most likely scorelines

1-113.3%
1-011.6%
0-111.5%
0-010.1%
2-17.6%
1-27.6%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Academie Generation Foot AJEL de Rufisque

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Draw1.74Fair (-1.9%)
Total goalsUnder 2.51.53Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0101273
1121383
27842
3332
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Academie Generation Foot and AJEL de Rufisque. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 22% for Academie Generation Foot, 51% for the draw and 27% for AJEL de Rufisque.

Several signals point toward the draw. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head history is finely balanced.

Across the last 3 meetings, the record reads 1 Academie Generation Foot wins, 1 draws and 1 AJEL de Rufisque wins. Recent scorelines: 2-0, 1-1, 1-0.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Academie Generation Foot show W-W-L-W-L across their recent outings, while AJEL de Rufisque read L-L-L-D-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 47%. The profile leans toward a tighter, lower-scoring game.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Academie Generation Foot" (1X2): we rate it 22% versus the 18% implied by odds of 5.05, an edge of 3.8 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Academie Generation Foot or AJEL de Rufisque?

Our model rates the draw as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Academie Generation Foot vs AJEL de Rufisque?

A scoreline around 1-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings: 1 Academie Generation Foot wins, 1 draws, 1 AJEL de Rufisque wins.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Senegal. Premier League
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Teungueth291221520:651
2AJEL de Rufisque29146926:1951
3Academie Generation Foot29137937:2148
4US Goree291141429:1447
5Walidaan291061328:2343
6Casa Sport29731928:1840
7Ouakam29741821:1539
8ASC Jaraaf29871419:1638
9AS Pikine29791319:1734
10Stade de Mbour29571718:2132
11ASC HLM29471816:2330
12Guediawaye29714829:3328
13Dakar Sacre-Coeur29491622:3628
14SONACOS294121317:3725
15ASC Linguere293111521:3524
16Camberene293111516:3224
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification) Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.