ASC HLM vs AS Pikine: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
ASC HLMvs
AS PikineOur model leans AS Pikine (44% probability), medium confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +The head-to-head record favours AS Pikine (0-4-1).
- −ASC HLM have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head record favours AS Pikine (0-4-1).
- ASC HLM have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between ASC HLM and AS Pikine. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 41% for ASC HLM, 15% for the draw and 44% for AS Pikine.
Several signals point toward AS Pikine. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head record favours AS Pikine (0-4-1).
Across the last 5 meetings, the record reads 0 ASC HLM wins, 4 draws and 1 AS Pikine wins. Recent scorelines: 0-0, 0-0, 1-1, 1-1, 1-0.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-2 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, ASC HLM show D-W-D-D-L across their recent outings, while AS Pikine read W-L-D-D-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, ASC HLM or AS Pikine?
Our model rates AS Pikine as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for ASC HLM vs AS Pikine?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 0 ASC HLM wins, 4 draws, 1 AS Pikine wins.
League table
Senegal. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Teungueth | 29 | 12 | 2 | 15 | 20:6 | 51 |
| 2 |  AJEL de Rufisque | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 26:19 | 51 |
| 3 |  Academie Generation Foot | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 37:21 | 48 |
| 4 |  US Goree | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 29:14 | 47 |
| 5 |  Walidaan | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 28:23 | 43 |
| 6 |  Casa Sport | 29 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 28:18 | 40 |
| 7 |  Ouakam | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 21:15 | 39 |
| 8 |  ASC Jaraaf | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 19:16 | 38 |
| 9 | AS Pikine | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 19:17 | 34 |
| 10 |  Stade de Mbour | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 18:21 | 32 |
| 11 | ASC HLM | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 16:23 | 30 |
| 12 |  Guediawaye | 29 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 29:33 | 28 |
| 13 |  Dakar Sacre-Coeur | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 22:36 | 28 |
| 14 |  SONACOS | 29 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 17:37 | 25 |
| 15 |  ASC Linguere | 29 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 21:35 | 24 |
| 16 |  Camberene | 29 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 16:32 | 24 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.