US Goree vs Stade de Mbour: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between US Goree and Stade de Mbour. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 41% for US Goree, 19% for the draw and 41% for Stade de Mbour.

Several signals point toward US Goree. The head-to-head record favours US Goree (4-1-1). US Goree have home advantage.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 4 US Goree wins, 1 draws and 1 Stade de Mbour wins. Recent scorelines: 0-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-0, 1-0.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, US Goree show D-L-L-D-D across their recent outings, while Stade de Mbour read W-L-W-D-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "US Goree" (1X2): we rate it 41% versus the 39% implied by odds of 2.39, an edge of 2.0 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.