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Friendlies. National Teams

Czech Republic vs Guatemala: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Czech Republic Czech RepublicvsGuatemala Guatemala
Our predictionCzech Republic to win
Confidence: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Czech Republic (73% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Czech Republic73%
Draw9%
2 · Guatemala18%
1 · Czech RepublicDraw2 · Guatemala
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
Czech Republic
74
Guatemala
41

Most likely scorelines

2-015.5%
1-014.7%
3-011.0%
2-18.6%
1-18.1%
0-06.9%

Expected goals

2.12Czech Republic
xG
0.55Guatemala
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score37%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Czech Republic Guatemala

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Czech Republic win1.30Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0741
11582
21692
31162
463
521

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Czech Republic1.30+0.2%
1X2Draw10.00-0.1%
1X2Guatemala5.30-0.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

With limited data on this fixture, the read here is driven by the market. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 73% for Czech Republic, 9% for the draw and 18% for Guatemala — treat this as a lighter, odds-led view.

Several signals point toward Czech Republic. The odds point to a clear favourite. Czech Republic have home advantage.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 37%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Czech Republic or Guatemala?

Our model rates Czech Republic as the most likely outcome at 73% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Czech Republic vs Guatemala?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.