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Finland. Kolmonen. Division 3

LTU vs JyTy Turku: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

LTU LTUvsJyTy Turku JyTy Turku
Our predictionLTU to win
Confidence: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans LTU (56% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · LTU56%
Draw23%
2 · JyTy Turku21%
1 · LTUDraw2 · JyTy Turku
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
LTU
64
JyTy Turku
43

Most likely scorelines

1-013.1%
2-012.1%
1-110.4%
2-19.7%
3-07.5%
0-07.1%

Expected goals

1.85LTU
xG
0.80JyTy Turku
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score46%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
LTU JyTy Turku

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2LTU win1.64Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0762
1131041
2121041
3762
4331
511

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2LTU1.64+0.4%
1X2JyTy Turku4.40-0.2%
1X2Draw3.92-0.2%
O/U 2.5Over 2.51.31-27.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

With limited data on this fixture, the read here is driven by the market. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 56% for LTU, 23% for the draw and 21% for JyTy Turku — treat this as a lighter, odds-led view.

Several signals point toward LTU. The odds point to a clear favourite. LTU have home advantage.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 46%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, LTU or JyTy Turku?

Our model rates LTU as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for LTU vs JyTy Turku?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.