Ilves vs Turun Palloseura: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ilvesvs
Turun PalloseuraOur model leans Ilves (41% probability), medium confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Ilves have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Ilves have home advantage.
- Goals outlook: a tight, low-scoring game likely.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds and recent form to frame this clash between Ilves and Turun Palloseura. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 41% for Ilves, 27% for the draw and 33% for Turun Palloseura.
Several signals point toward Ilves. Ilves have home advantage.
On form, Ilves show W-W-L across their recent outings, while Turun Palloseura read limited data. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams to score at 46%. The profile leans toward a tighter, lower-scoring game.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ilves or Turun Palloseura?
Our model rates Ilves as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.