Denmark. Championship. 3rd Division

Vejgaard vs Lyseng: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Vejgaardvs

Lyseng

Our predictionVejgaard to win

Confidence: High · 92/100

Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Vejgaard (56% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

+The odds point to a clear favourite.
+Recent form favours Vejgaard.
−The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
+Vejgaard have home advantage.

Win probabilities

1 · Vejgaard56%

Draw22%

2 · Lyseng22%

1 · VejgaardDraw2 · Lyseng

Full team comparison →

Recent form

VejgaardLLWWW

LysengLDLLL

Team strength rating

Vejgaard

Lyseng

Most likely scorelines

1-013.0%

2-011.8%

1-110.6%

2-19.7%

3-07.2%

0-07.1%

Expected goals

1.82Vejgaard

0.82Lyseng

Over 2.5 goals49%

Both teams to score47%

Match DNA

Vejgaard Lyseng

Key points

The odds point to a clear favourite.
Recent form favours Vejgaard.
The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Vejgaard have home advantage.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Vejgaard win1.67Fair (+0.9%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3
0	7	6	2
1	13	11	4	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	7	6	2
4	3	3	1
5	1

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Vejgaard1.67+0.9%

1X2Draw4.23+0.5%

1X2Lyseng3.90-1.4%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Vejgaard and Lyseng. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 56% for Vejgaard, 22% for the draw and 22% for Lyseng.

Several signals point toward Vejgaard. The odds point to a clear favourite. Recent form favours Vejgaard. Vejgaard have home advantage.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 2 Vejgaard wins, 2 draws and 2 Lyseng wins. Recent scorelines: 2-1, 1-0, 0-2, 4-2, 5-5.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Vejgaard show L-L-W-W-W across their recent outings, while Lyseng read L-D-L-L-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 47%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.