Cambodia vs Bhutan: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Cambodiavs
BhutanOur model leans Cambodia (82% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- −Recent form favours Bhutan.
- +Cambodia have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Recent form favours Bhutan.
- Cambodia have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 18 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 14 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 8 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 4 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Cambodia and Bhutan. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 82% for Cambodia, 5% for the draw and 14% for Bhutan.
Several signals point toward Cambodia. The odds point to a clear favourite. Cambodia have home advantage.
Across the last 1 meetings, the record reads 1 Cambodia wins, 0 draws and 0 Bhutan wins. Recent scorelines: 2-0.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Cambodia show D-L-L-L-L across their recent outings, while Bhutan read W-L-L-L-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 29%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Bhutan" (1X2): we rate it 14% versus the 11% implied by odds of 8.80, an edge of 2.8 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Cambodia or Bhutan?
Our model rates Cambodia as the most likely outcome at 82% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Cambodia vs Bhutan?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Cambodia wins, 0 draws, 0 Bhutan wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.