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Czech Republic. 3 Liga

Teplice II vs Arsenal Ceska Lipa: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Teplice II Teplice IIvsArsenal Ceska Lipa Arsenal Ceska Lipa
Our predictionDraw
Confidence: High · 92/100
Score hint: 1-1

Our model leans the draw (60% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Teplice II20%
Draw60%
2 · Arsenal Ceska Lipa20%
1 · Teplice IIDraw2 · Arsenal Ceska Lipa
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Teplice II5.17+2.9%
1X2Arsenal Ceska Lipa4.30-1.2%
1X2Draw1.48-1.7%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Teplice IIWDDLL
Arsenal Ceska LipaLWWLW
Team strength rating
Teplice II
47
Arsenal Ceska Lipa
42

Most likely scorelines

1-112.5%
1-010.2%
0-19.1%
2-18.6%
1-27.7%
0-07.4%

Expected goals

1.37Teplice II
xG
1.23Arsenal Ceska Lipa
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Teplice II Arsenal Ceska Lipa

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Draw1.48Fair (-1.7%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07962
1101383
27952
3342
411
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Teplice II and Arsenal Ceska Lipa. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 20% for Teplice II, 60% for the draw and 20% for Arsenal Ceska Lipa.

Several signals point toward the draw. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head history is finely balanced.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 3 Teplice II wins, 0 draws and 3 Arsenal Ceska Lipa wins. Recent scorelines: 2-0, 0-1, 3-0, 3-0, 1-0.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Teplice II show W-D-D-L-L across their recent outings, while Arsenal Ceska Lipa read L-W-W-L-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Teplice II" (1X2): we rate it 20% versus the 18% implied by odds of 5.17, an edge of 2.9 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Teplice II or Arsenal Ceska Lipa?

Our model rates the draw as the most likely outcome at 60% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Teplice II vs Arsenal Ceska Lipa?

A scoreline around 1-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 3 Teplice II wins, 0 draws, 3 Arsenal Ceska Lipa wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Czech Republic. 3 Liga - Group B
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Arsenal Ceska Lipa31282182:2485
2SK Zapy31224567:2771
3Hradec Kralove II31198470:4261
4Banik Sous31198459:3461
5Teplice II31149846:3850
6SK Benatky nad Jizerou311112855:5341
7Pardubice II311113766:5540
8Jablonec II311114647:5939
9Slovan Liberec II311014772:5937
10Neratovice-Byskovice31913943:6236
11Mlada Boleslav II31914836:5035
12Varnsdorf31915741:6534
13Velke Hamry317141045:5631
14TJ Jiskra Usti nad Orlici317141035:5231
15Sokol Brozany317141037:5831
16Slovan Velvary31720446:8125
17Kolin324161236:6824
Promotion - Czech Republic. 3 Liga (Play-off) Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.