Unicov vs TJ Start Brno: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Our model leans Unicov (72% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +The head-to-head record favours Unicov (4-1-0).
- −Recent form favours TJ Start Brno.
- +Unicov have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head record favours Unicov (4-1-0).
- Recent form favours TJ Start Brno.
- Unicov have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Unicov and TJ Start Brno. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 72% for Unicov, 7% for the draw and 21% for TJ Start Brno.
Several signals point toward Unicov. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head record favours Unicov (4-1-0). Unicov have home advantage.
Across the last 5 meetings, the record reads 4 Unicov wins, 1 draws and 0 TJ Start Brno wins. Recent scorelines: 0-1, 0-3, 3-0, 3-3, 3-2.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Unicov show L-L-L-D-W across their recent outings, while TJ Start Brno read L-W-L-L-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 39%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Unicov or TJ Start Brno?
Our model rates Unicov as the most likely outcome at 72% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Unicov vs TJ Start Brno?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 4 Unicov wins, 1 draws, 0 TJ Start Brno wins.
League table
Czech Republic. 3 Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 69:24 | 73 | |
| 2 | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70:31 | 67 | |
| 3 | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 67:44 | 61 | |
| 4 | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 50:40 | 58 | |
| 5 | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 50:35 | 57 | |
| 6 | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 64:32 | 56 | |
| 7 | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 60:47 | 52 | |
| 8 | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 50:45 | 47 | |
| 9 | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 51:51 | 45 | |
| 10 | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 53:61 | 40 | |
| 11 | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 46:52 | 37 | |
| 12 | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 44:54 | 37 | |
| 13 | 31 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 33:56 | 32 | |
| 14 | 32 | 7 | 16 | 9 | 37:54 | 30 | |
| 15 | 32 | 9 | 20 | 3 | 44:72 | 30 | |
| 16 | 32 | 6 | 18 | 8 | 36:59 | 26 | |
| 17 | 32 | 4 | 17 | 11 | 32:65 | 23 | |
| 18 | 32 | 5 | 20 | 7 | 38:72 | 22 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.