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Sweden. Superettan

Helsingborgs vs Landskrona BoIS: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Helsingborgs HelsingborgsvsLandskrona BoIS Landskrona BoIS
Our predictionHelsingborgs to win
Confidence: Low · 26/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Helsingborgs (35% probability), low confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · HelsingborgsDraw2 · Landskrona BoIS
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Landskrona BoIS3.44+5.1%
1X2Helsingborgs2.46-2.2%
1X2Draw2.62-2.8%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Recent form

HelsingborgsLWLDD
Landskrona BoISDWLDD
Team strength rating
Helsingborgs
43
Landskrona BoIS
52

Most likely scorelines

1-112.4%
1-010.4%
0-18.8%
2-18.8%
1-27.4%
0-07.4%

Expected goals

1.41Helsingborgs
xG
1.19Landskrona BoIS
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Helsingborgs Landskrona BoIS

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Helsingborgs win2.46Fair (-2.2%)
Double chanceHelsingborgs or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07952
1101273
27952
3342
411
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Helsingborgs and Landskrona BoIS. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 35% for Helsingborgs, 33% for the draw and 32% for Landskrona BoIS.

Several signals point toward Helsingborgs. The odds point to a clear favourite. Helsingborgs have home advantage.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 1 Helsingborgs wins, 2 draws and 3 Landskrona BoIS wins. Recent scorelines: 0-0, 3-3, 0-1, 0-1, 1-2.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Helsingborgs show L-W-L-D-D across their recent outings, while Landskrona BoIS read D-W-L-D-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Landskrona BoIS" (1X2): we rate it 32% versus the 27% implied by odds of 3.44, an edge of 5.1 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Helsingborgs or Landskrona BoIS?

Our model rates Helsingborgs as the most likely outcome at 35% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Helsingborgs vs Landskrona BoIS?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 1 Helsingborgs wins, 2 draws, 3 Landskrona BoIS wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Sweden. Superettan
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Varbergs BoIS1171324:1124
2Falkenbergs1162320:1621
3IFK Norrkoping1163219:920
4Nordic United1163220:1720
5Ostersunds1153319:1618
6Osters1154215:1817
7Oddevold1144321:1915
8Helsingborgs1044218:2014
9Landskrona BoIS1033413:1213
10Brage1134417:1813
11Sandvikens1135316:1512
12Orebro113539:1512
13Ljungskile1136214:1511
14Norrby1113715:1810
15IFK Varnamo1137114:2410
16Sundsvall113809:209
Promotion - Jupiler League Promotion - Higher League (Promotion) Sweden. Division 1 Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.