USFAS Bamako vs Onze Createurs: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between USFAS Bamako and Onze Createurs. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 86% for USFAS Bamako, 3% for the draw and 10% for Onze Createurs.

Several signals point toward USFAS Bamako. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head record favours USFAS Bamako (4-0-2). USFAS Bamako have home advantage.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 4 USFAS Bamako wins, 0 draws and 2 Onze Createurs wins. Recent scorelines: 1-0, 1-0, 1-3, 1-0, 1-0.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, USFAS Bamako show D-W-L-L-W across their recent outings, while Onze Createurs read L-W-D-W-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 29%. The match profile leans toward a higher goal total.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Under 2.5" (O/U 2.5): we rate it 37% versus the 33% implied by odds of 3.06, an edge of 4.4 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.