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Romanian Super Cup

CS Universitatea Craiova vs Universitatea Cluj: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

CS Universitatea Craiova CS Universitatea CraiovavsUniversitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj
Our predictionCS Universitatea Craiova to win
Model score: High · 62/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts CS Universitatea Craiova at 53%. The model leans toward CS Universitatea Craiova. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · CS Universitatea CraiovaDraw2 · Universitatea Cluj
Full team comparison

Recent form

CS Universitatea CraiovaWWDDW
Universitatea ClujDLLDD
Team strength rating
CS Universitatea Craiova
74
Universitatea Cluj
36

Most likely scorelines

1-012.9%
2-011.8%
1-110.7%
2-19.7%
3-07.1%
0-07.1%

Expected goals

1.82CS Universitatea Craiova
xG
0.83Universitatea Cluj
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score47%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
CS Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Cluj

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2CS Universitatea Craiova win1.83Fair (+1.9%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0762
1131141
2121041
3762
4331
51

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2CS Universitatea Craiova1.83+1.9%
BTTSNo1.76+0.4%
BTTSYes1.95-0.4%
1X2Draw3.40-0.6%
1X2Universitatea Cluj4.42-1.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts CS Universitatea Craiova at 53%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Universitatea Cluj at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward CS Universitatea Craiova. CS Universitatea Craiova is priced at 1.83. The draw is priced at 3.4. Universitatea Cluj is priced at 4.425.

CS Universitatea Craiova have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Universitatea Cluj have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

CS Universitatea Craiova have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. CS Universitatea Craiova are on 2 wins in a row. Universitatea Cluj have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, CS Universitatea Craiova or Universitatea Cluj?

Our model rates CS Universitatea Craiova as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for CS Universitatea Craiova vs Universitatea Cluj?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 3 CS Universitatea Craiova wins, 1 draws, 2 Universitatea Cluj wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.