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Finnish Cup

Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho vs Inter Turku: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho Seinajoen JalkapallokerhovsInter Turku Inter Turku
Our predictionDraw
Confidence: High · 64/100
Score hint: 1-1

Our model leans the draw (49% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Seinajoen JalkapallokerhoDraw2 · Inter Turku
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Inter Turku3.64+2.2%
1X2Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho3.92-0.7%
1X2Draw1.84-1.5%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Seinajoen JalkapallokerhoLWLLW
Inter TurkuDWWWW
Team strength rating
Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho
38
Inter Turku
56

Most likely scorelines

1-112.6%
1-09.7%
0-19.7%
2-18.2%
1-28.1%
0-07.5%

Expected goals

1.30Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho
xG
1.29Inter Turku
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho Inter Turku

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Draw1.84Fair (-1.5%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
071063
11013841
26852
3342
41
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho and Inter Turku. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 23% for Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho, 49% for the draw and 28% for Inter Turku.

Several signals point toward the draw. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head history is finely balanced.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 2 Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho wins, 1 draws and 3 Inter Turku wins. Recent scorelines: 1-3, 2-2, 2-1, 4-1, 0-1.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho show L-W-L-L-W across their recent outings, while Inter Turku read D-W-W-W-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Inter Turku" (1X2): we rate it 28% versus the 26% implied by odds of 3.64, an edge of 2.2 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho or Inter Turku?

Our model rates the draw as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho vs Inter Turku?

A scoreline around 1-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 2 Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho wins, 1 draws, 3 Inter Turku wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

4.073.482.902.311.73
Home 3.92 Draw 1.84 Away 3.64

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.