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Czech Republic. 3 Liga

Kladno vs Arsenal Ceska Lipa: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Kladno KladnovsArsenal Ceska Lipa Arsenal Ceska Lipa
Our predictionKladno to win
Confidence: Medium · 42/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Kladno (40% probability), medium confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · KladnoDraw2 · Arsenal Ceska Lipa
Full team comparison

Recent form

KladnoDWWWL
Arsenal Ceska LipaWWWLW
Team strength rating
Kladno
61
Arsenal Ceska Lipa
58

Most likely scorelines

1-112.3%
1-010.9%
2-19.1%
0-18.2%
2-08.2%
0-07.3%

Expected goals

1.49Kladno
xG
1.12Arsenal Ceska Lipa
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score52%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Kladno Arsenal Ceska Lipa

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Kladno win2.21Fair (-1.5%)
Double chanceKladno or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07852
1111273
28952
3453
422
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Arsenal Ceska Lipa3.14+1.5%
1X2Draw3.02+0.0%
1X2Kladno2.21-1.5%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Kladno and Arsenal Ceska Lipa. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 40% for Kladno, 30% for the draw and 30% for Arsenal Ceska Lipa.

Several signals point toward Kladno. The odds point to a clear favourite. Kladno have home advantage.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 3 Kladno wins, 1 draws and 2 Arsenal Ceska Lipa wins. Recent scorelines: 2-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-1.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Kladno show D-W-W-W-L across their recent outings, while Arsenal Ceska Lipa read W-W-W-L-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Kladno or Arsenal Ceska Lipa?

Our model rates Kladno as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Kladno vs Arsenal Ceska Lipa?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 3 Kladno wins, 1 draws, 2 Arsenal Ceska Lipa wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

3.403.062.712.362.01
Home 2.21 Draw 3.02 Away 3.14

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.