← All predictions
Gambian Championship. 1st Division

Banjul Hawks vs Gambia Ports Authority: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Banjul Hawks Banjul HawksvsGambia Ports Authority Gambia Ports Authority
Our predictionDraw
Confidence: Low · 8/100
Score hint: 1-1

Our model leans the draw (34% probability), low confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Banjul HawksDraw2 · Gambia Ports Authority
Full team comparison

Recent form

Banjul HawksDLLLW
Gambia Ports AuthorityLWLLL

Most likely scorelines

1-112.5%
1-010.3%
0-19.0%
2-18.7%
1-27.6%
0-07.4%
Team strength rating
Banjul Hawks
44
Gambia Ports Authority
40

Expected goals

1.39Banjul Hawks
xG
1.21Gambia Ports Authority
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Banjul Hawks Gambia Ports Authority

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Draw2.70Fair (+0.9%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07952
1101283
27952
3342
411
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Draw2.70+0.9%
1X2Banjul Hawks2.66-0.0%
1X2Gambia Ports Authority2.73-0.9%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Banjul Hawks and Gambia Ports Authority. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 34% for Banjul Hawks, 34% for the draw and 32% for Gambia Ports Authority.

Several signals point toward the draw. The head-to-head history is finely balanced.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 2 Banjul Hawks wins, 2 draws and 2 Gambia Ports Authority wins. Recent scorelines: 1-0, 2-0, 1-0, 1-1, 0-0.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Banjul Hawks show D-L-L-L-W across their recent outings, while Gambia Ports Authority read L-W-L-L-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Banjul Hawks or Gambia Ports Authority?

Our model rates the draw as the most likely outcome at 34% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Banjul Hawks vs Gambia Ports Authority?

A scoreline around 1-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 2 Banjul Hawks wins, 2 draws, 2 Gambia Ports Authority wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

2.872.782.702.612.53
Home 2.66 Draw 2.70 Away 2.73

League table

Gambian Championship. 1st Division
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Medina United27138630:2445
2Bombada271151134:2544
3Fortune Farato271151129:2044
4Gambia Ports Authority271161022:1743
5Real de Banjul27951326:1940
6Brikama United27108930:2739
7Team Rhino2799923:2136
8Hart Academy27891031:3034
9Gambian Dutch Lions27781226:2433
10BST Galaxy27791122:2932
11Falcons27681315:2031
12Greater Tomorrow277101022:2931
13Banjul Hawks27711923:2930
14Steve Biko27591321:2428
15Samger275101219:2427
16TMT275111113:2426
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification) League (Play Out - Play-off) Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.