Throttur Vogar vs Vikingur Olafsvik: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Throttur Vogarvs
Vikingur OlafsvikOur model leans Throttur Vogar (54% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- +Throttur Vogar have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- Throttur Vogar have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Throttur Vogar and Vikingur Olafsvik. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 54% for Throttur Vogar, 27% for the draw and 19% for Vikingur Olafsvik.
Several signals point toward Throttur Vogar. The odds point to a clear favourite. Throttur Vogar have home advantage.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 3 Throttur Vogar wins, 0 draws and 3 Vikingur Olafsvik wins. Recent scorelines: 2-1, 2-0, 3-2, 2-0, 4-0.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Throttur Vogar show L-D-L-W-L across their recent outings, while Vikingur Olafsvik read D-L-L-W-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 46%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Throttur Vogar or Vikingur Olafsvik?
Our model rates Throttur Vogar as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Throttur Vogar vs Vikingur Olafsvik?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Throttur Vogar wins, 0 draws, 3 Vikingur Olafsvik wins.
League table
Iceland. 2 Delid| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Haukar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:6 | 15 |
| 2 |  Kari Akranes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 11 |
| 3 |  UMF Selfoss | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:11 | 11 |
| 4 |  Kormakur Hvot | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 10 |
| 5 |  KFA Fjardabyggd | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 17:12 | 9 |
| 6 |  Fjolnir | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 17:13 | 9 |
| 7 |  Hviti Riddarinn | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 8 | Throttur Vogar | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dalvik Reynir | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:12 | 7 |
| 10 |  KFG Gardabaer | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10:20 | 6 |
| 11 | Vikingur Olafsvik | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10:17 | 5 |
| 12 |  Magni | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:23 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.