Haukar vs Kormakur Hvot: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Haukarvs
Kormakur HvotOur model leans Haukar (66% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +The head-to-head record favours Haukar (2-2-0).
- +Recent form favours Haukar.
- +Haukar have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head record favours Haukar (2-2-0).
- Recent form favours Haukar.
- Haukar have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Haukar and Kormakur Hvot. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 66% for Haukar, 15% for the draw and 19% for Kormakur Hvot.
Several signals point toward Haukar. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head record favours Haukar (2-2-0). Recent form favours Haukar.
Across the last 4 meetings, the record reads 2 Haukar wins, 2 draws and 0 Kormakur Hvot wins. Recent scorelines: 2-2, 2-1, 5-1, 1-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Haukar show W-L-W-L-L across their recent outings, while Kormakur Hvot read L-D-L-L-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 41%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Haukar" (1X2): we rate it 66% versus the 63% implied by odds of 1.44, an edge of 3.4 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Haukar or Kormakur Hvot?
Our model rates Haukar as the most likely outcome at 66% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Haukar vs Kormakur Hvot?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 2 Haukar wins, 2 draws, 0 Kormakur Hvot wins.
League table
Iceland. 2 Delid| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haukar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:6 | 15 |
| 2 |  Kari Akranes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 11 |
| 3 |  UMF Selfoss | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:11 | 11 |
| 4 | Kormakur Hvot | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 10 |
| 5 |  KFA Fjardabyggd | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 17:12 | 9 |
| 6 |  Fjolnir | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 17:13 | 9 |
| 7 |  Hviti Riddarinn | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 8 |  Throttur Vogar | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dalvik Reynir | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:12 | 7 |
| 10 |  KFG Gardabaer | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10:20 | 6 |
| 11 |  Vikingur Olafsvik | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10:17 | 5 |
| 12 |  Magni | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:23 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.