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Iceland. 3 Deild

Ymir Kopavogur vs Asvellir: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Ymir Kopavogur Ymir KopavogurvsAsvellir Asvellir
Our predictionYmir Kopavogur to win
Confidence: Medium · 60/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Ymir Kopavogur (44% probability), medium confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Ymir KopavogurDraw2 · Asvellir
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
Ymir Kopavogur
57
Asvellir
44

Most likely scorelines

1-011.9%
1-111.7%
2-09.8%
2-19.6%
0-07.2%
0-17.1%

Expected goals

1.65Ymir Kopavogur
xG
0.98Asvellir
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score50%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Ymir Kopavogur Asvellir

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Ymir Kopavogur win2.09Fair (+0.5%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07731
1121262
2101052
3553
4221
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Ymir Kopavogur2.09+0.5%
1X2Asvellir3.88-0.2%
1X2Draw2.74-0.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

With limited data on this fixture, the read here is driven by the market. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 44% for Ymir Kopavogur, 33% for the draw and 23% for Asvellir — treat this as a lighter, odds-led view.

Several signals point toward Ymir Kopavogur. The odds point to a clear favourite. Ymir Kopavogur have home advantage.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 50%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Ymir Kopavogur or Asvellir?

Our model rates Ymir Kopavogur as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Ymir Kopavogur vs Asvellir?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.