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Finland. Kolmonen. Division 3

Jyvaskylan Seudun Palloseura vs Jyvaskyla II: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Jyvaskylan Seudun Palloseura Jyvaskylan Seudun PalloseuravsJyvaskyla II Jyvaskyla II
Our predictionJyvaskylan Seudun Palloseura to win
Confidence: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Jyvaskylan Seudun Palloseura (82% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Jyvaskylan Seudun PalloseuraDraw2 · Jyvaskyla II
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

O/U 2.5Under 2.53.90+11.2%
1X2Jyvaskylan Seudun Palloseura1.11+0.2%
1X2Draw12.50-0.1%
1X2Jyvaskyla II8.50-0.1%
O/U 2.5Over 2.51.21-19.5%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Jyvaskylan Seudun Palloseura
80
Jyvaskyla II
37

Expected goals

2.97Jyvaskylan Seudun Palloseura
xG
0.45Jyvaskyla II
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams to score33%

Most likely scorelines

2-014.5%
3-014.3%
4-010.7%
1-09.7%
2-16.5%
3-16.4%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Jyvaskylan Seudun Palloseura Jyvaskyla II

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Jyvaskylan Seudun Palloseura win1.11Fair
Total goalsOver 2.51.21Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
031
1104
21461
31461
41151
563

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

With limited data on this fixture, the read here is driven by the market. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 82% for Jyvaskylan Seudun Palloseura, 7% for the draw and 11% for Jyvaskyla II — treat this as a lighter, odds-led view.

Several signals point toward Jyvaskylan Seudun Palloseura. The odds point to a clear favourite. Jyvaskylan Seudun Palloseura have home advantage.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 33%. The match profile leans toward a higher goal total.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Under 2.5" (O/U 2.5): we rate it 37% versus the 26% implied by odds of 3.90, an edge of 11.2 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Jyvaskylan Seudun Palloseura or Jyvaskyla II?

Our model rates Jyvaskylan Seudun Palloseura as the most likely outcome at 82% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Jyvaskylan Seudun Palloseura vs Jyvaskyla II?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.