Shurtan Guzar vs Gazalkent: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Shurtan Guzarvs
GazalkentOur model leans Shurtan Guzar (52% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +Shurtan Guzar have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Shurtan Guzar have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
With limited data on this fixture, the read here is driven by the market. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 52% for Shurtan Guzar, 22% for the draw and 26% for Gazalkent — treat this as a lighter, odds-led view.
Several signals point toward Shurtan Guzar. The odds point to a clear favourite. Shurtan Guzar have home advantage.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 49%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Shurtan Guzar or Gazalkent?
Our model rates Shurtan Guzar as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Shurtan Guzar vs Gazalkent?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
League table
Uzbekistan. Pro League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Aral | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 24:7 | 26 |
| 2 | Shurtan Guzar | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 15:6 | 23 |
| 3 |  Metallurg Bekabad | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23:8 | 18 |
| 4 |  Lochin | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:5 | 18 |
| 5 |  Kattakurgan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11:6 | 18 |
| 6 |  Yaypan | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:14 | 13 |
| 7 |  Fergana State University | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:19 | 13 |
| 8 |  Respublika FA | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Gazalkent | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 10 |  Olimpik MobiUZ | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 11 |  Jayxun | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 12 |  Terdu | 9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 8:18 | 4 |
| 13 |  Buxdu | 9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 5:21 | 4 |
| 14 |  Pakhtakor Tashkent II | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 6:23 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.