Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Charlotte Independence and Union Omaha. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 45% for Charlotte Independence, 27% for the draw and 28% for Union Omaha.

Several signals point toward Charlotte Independence. The odds point to a clear favourite. Recent form favours Charlotte Independence. Charlotte Independence have home advantage.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 1 Charlotte Independence wins, 1 draws and 4 Union Omaha wins. Recent scorelines: 4-1, 1-2, 1-4, 0-0, 0-1.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Charlotte Independence show W-W-L-L-W across their recent outings, while Union Omaha read L-L-W-L-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 51%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Union Omaha" (1X2): we rate it 28% versus the 26% implied by odds of 3.55, an edge of 2.4 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.