Athletic Boise vs Richmond Kickers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Athletic Boisevs
Richmond KickersOur model leans Athletic Boise (63% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +Athletic Boise have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Athletic Boise have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Athletic Boise and Richmond Kickers. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 63% for Athletic Boise, 15% for the draw and 22% for Richmond Kickers.
Several signals point toward Athletic Boise. The odds point to a clear favourite. Athletic Boise have home advantage.
Across the last 1 meetings, the record reads 0 Athletic Boise wins, 1 draws and 0 Richmond Kickers wins. Recent scorelines: 2-2.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Athletic Boise show L-D-W-W-L across their recent outings, while Richmond Kickers read L-D-L-W-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 44%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Athletic Boise or Richmond Kickers?
Our model rates Athletic Boise as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Athletic Boise vs Richmond Kickers?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Athletic Boise wins, 1 draws, 0 Richmond Kickers wins.
League table
USA. USL League One| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Union Omaha | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22:12 | 28 |
| 2 |  One Knoxville | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Charlotte Independence | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25:13 | 20 |
| 4 |  Spokane Velocity | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 20 |
| 5 |  Naples | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 13:18 | 17 |
| 6 |  Fort Wayne | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Athletic Boise | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 8 |  AV Alta | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 10 |  Forward Madison | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 11 |  Sarasota Paradise | 13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 13:21 | 13 |
| 12 | Richmond Kickers | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 13 |  Chattanooga Red Wolves | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 10 |
| 14 |  Greenville Triumph | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 15 |  Corpus Christi | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12:22 | 8 |
| 16 |  Westchester SC | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 17 |  New York Cosmos | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 14:24 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.