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Lithuania Championship. League 2

Panevezys II vs Suduva Marijampole II: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Panevezys II Panevezys IIvsSuduva Marijampole II Suduva Marijampole II
Our predictionPanevezys II to win
Confidence: High · 86/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Panevezys II (52% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Panevezys IIDraw2 · Suduva Marijampole II
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
Panevezys II
61
Suduva Marijampole II
43

Expected goals

2.26Panevezys II
xG
1.09Suduva Marijampole II
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score59%

Most likely scorelines

2-19.8%
2-08.9%
1-18.7%
1-07.9%
3-17.3%
3-06.7%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Panevezys II Suduva Marijampole II

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Panevezys II win1.78Fair
Total goalsOver 2.51.35Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0442
18952
291052
37741
4442
5221

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

O/U 2.5Under 2.52.90+1.3%
1X2Panevezys II1.78+0.4%
1X2Suduva Marijampole II4.20-0.2%
1X2Draw3.43-0.2%
O/U 2.5Over 2.51.35-9.9%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

With limited data on this fixture, the read here is driven by the market. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 52% for Panevezys II, 26% for the draw and 22% for Suduva Marijampole II — treat this as a lighter, odds-led view.

Several signals point toward Panevezys II. The odds point to a clear favourite. Panevezys II have home advantage.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 59%. The match profile leans toward a higher goal total.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Panevezys II or Suduva Marijampole II?

Our model rates Panevezys II as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Panevezys II vs Suduva Marijampole II?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.