Sparta Rotterdam II vs Groningen U21: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sparta Rotterdam IIvs
Groningen U21Our model leans Sparta Rotterdam II (79% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +Sparta Rotterdam II have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Sparta Rotterdam II have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Sparta Rotterdam II and Groningen U21. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 79% for Sparta Rotterdam II, 4% for the draw and 16% for Groningen U21.
Several signals point toward Sparta Rotterdam II. The odds point to a clear favourite. Sparta Rotterdam II have home advantage.
Across the last 1 meetings, the record reads 0 Sparta Rotterdam II wins, 1 draws and 0 Groningen U21 wins. Recent scorelines: 1-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Sparta Rotterdam II show D-L-W-L-L across their recent outings, while Groningen U21 read D-L-D-L-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 33%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sparta Rotterdam II or Groningen U21?
Our model rates Sparta Rotterdam II as the most likely outcome at 79% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sparta Rotterdam II vs Groningen U21?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Sparta Rotterdam II wins, 1 draws, 0 Groningen U21 wins.
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedGroningen U21 make it count (Holder (13')). It's 0–1 at this point.
An end-to-end spell with goals at both ends (Roeland (31'), Guit Vig. (42')). Score moves to 1–2.
Half-time score: Sparta Rotterdam II 1 – 2 Groningen U21.
Sparta Rotterdam II make it count (Vianello (49')). It's 2–2 at this point.
Sparta Rotterdam II make it count (Unknown (75')). It's 3–2 at this point.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.