Fluminense Joinville vs Clube Atletico Metropolitano Blumenau: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Fluminense Joinvillevs
Clube Atletico Metropolitano BlumenauOur model leans the draw (59% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- −Fluminense Joinville have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Fluminense Joinville have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Fluminense Joinville and Clube Atletico Metropolitano Blumenau. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 14% for Fluminense Joinville, 59% for the draw and 27% for Clube Atletico Metropolitano Blumenau.
Several signals point toward the draw. The odds point to a clear favourite.
Across the last 1 meetings, the record reads 0 Fluminense Joinville wins, 0 draws and 1 Clube Atletico Metropolitano Blumenau wins. Recent scorelines: 1-0.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Fluminense Joinville show L-W-L-D-W across their recent outings, while Clube Atletico Metropolitano Blumenau read L-W-L-W-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Fluminense Joinville or Clube Atletico Metropolitano Blumenau?
Our model rates the draw as the most likely outcome at 59% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Fluminense Joinville vs Clube Atletico Metropolitano Blumenau?
A scoreline around 1-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Fluminense Joinville wins, 0 draws, 1 Clube Atletico Metropolitano Blumenau wins.
League table
Brazil. Campeonato Catarinense. Second Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Caravaggio Nova Veneza | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 25:10 | 18 |
| 2 |  Hercílio Luz | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:6 | 17 |
| 3 |  Blumenau | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:3 | 16 |
| 4 | Clube Atletico Metropolitano Blumenau | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 16 |
| 5 |  Tubarao | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 6 |  Guarani de Palhoca | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:14 | 11 |
| 7 | Fluminense Joinville | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 8 |  Nacao Esportes | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 9 |  Gremio Esportivo Juventus | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 3:15 | 7 |
| 10 |  Jaragua SC | 8 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 4:26 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.