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USA. USL League Two

Black Rock vs Albany Rush: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Black Rock Black RockvsAlbany Rush Albany Rush
Our predictionBlack Rock to win
Confidence: High · 82/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Black Rock (60% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Black RockDraw2 · Albany Rush
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Albany Rush4.65+6.0%
1X2Draw5.80-1.3%
1X2Black Rock1.40-4.7%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Black RockLDDLW
Albany RushWWLLL
Team strength rating
Black Rock
56
Albany Rush
52

Most likely scorelines

1-013.0%
2-012.0%
1-110.5%
2-19.7%
3-07.3%
0-07.1%

Expected goals

1.84Black Rock
xG
0.81Albany Rush
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score46%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Black Rock Albany Rush

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Black Rock win1.40Avoid (-4.7%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0762
1131141
2121041
3762
4331
511

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Black Rock and Albany Rush. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 60% for Black Rock, 14% for the draw and 26% for Albany Rush.

Several signals point toward Black Rock. The odds point to a clear favourite. Black Rock have home advantage.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 1 Black Rock wins, 2 draws and 3 Albany Rush wins. Recent scorelines: 3-0, 2-0, 0-1, 2-2, 0-0.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Black Rock show L-D-D-L-W across their recent outings, while Albany Rush read W-W-L-L-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 46%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Albany Rush" (1X2): we rate it 26% versus the 20% implied by odds of 4.65, an edge of 6.0 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Black Rock or Albany Rush?

Our model rates Black Rock as the most likely outcome at 60% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Black Rock vs Albany Rush?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 1 Black Rock wins, 2 draws, 3 Albany Rush wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.